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Saturday, December 4, 2010

New York Republicans regained the majority of the State Senate as Judge Certifies Race

New York, the Republicans regained control of the state Senate after Jack Martin was declared the winner of a race in Nassau County today by Supreme Court Justice Ira Warshawsky, The Associated Press.

The ruling gives Republicans at least 32 members in the chamber's 62 seats, with a contest is still undecided. By 2008, when Democrats won a majority in the Senate 32-30, the Senate had been controlled by Republicans since 1966. Democrats held a majority in the Assembly of 150 seats in the Nov. 2 election.

The victory of the Republicans on Democratic Sen. Craig Johnson reinforced the party's position in negotiations for next year close to $ 9 billion budget deficit and the development of new district boundaries from lawmakers.

"The arrogance of one-party rule" in the Legislature voting injured during the past two years, Senate Republican leader Dean Skelos of Rockville Centre, said. Democrats used their majority to drive increased spending and taxes to the minimum number of votes required, and without Republican support.

Senate Republicans elected as their leader Skelos November 29. Skelos said then he hoped to be elected president of the Senate when lawmakers return to Albany in January. As president, programming control of the Senate.

Most Democrats exposed the left vulnerable to the demands of their own members who helped to delay a budget agreement this year to four months after the start of the fiscal year. In 2009, when the Senate was deadlocked at 31-31 after a Democratic senator temporarily defected to the Republicans, $ 2.9 billion revenue accounts were stalled for a month.

Commitment to Independence

Before the elections, all Senate Republicans and 21 of 32 Democrats signed a pledge to create an independent commission to draw lines to the district legislators, without favoring any party or candidate, according to survey of New York, a group promoter of the idea.

"It will be interesting to see if they honor their words after the election," said Dick Dadey, director of Citizens Union, a New York City non-partisan control group. The commission is required to break the practice of "election of legislators to their voters instead of voters in the election of legislators," drawing district lines to protect incumbents, he said.

In the past, when Republicans controlled the Senate and the Assembly Democrats had "every one said to another, you redistricting," said Ed Koch, former mayor of New York and founder of the Insurrection in New York.

The Republicans retained control of the Senate after the 2000 census although the Board of Elections data showed that they were outnumbered by 5.24 to 3.17 million registered voters this year. Since then Democratic advantage among registered voters has increased from 5.79 to 2.91 million.

Senate Republicans won a majority of seats in the chamber even when the candidate at the top of the ticket, Carlos Paladino, lost to Democrat Andrew Cuomo in the race for governor. Democrats also won races for comptroller, attorney general and the two U.S. Senate seats last month.

Rescue Fund can be increased, Reynders said in a break with Merkel

Belgian Finance Minister Didier Reynders said the euro region could increase the size of its 750 million euros ($ 1 billion) rescue fund, breaking ranks with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy of France.

Reynders told reporters in Brussels that the current joint account may be higher if governments decide to create a larger pool as part of a mechanism of permanent crisis in 2013. "If we decide that in the coming weeks or months, why not apply immediately to current installation?

European officials are under pressure to find new ways to stop the contagion spreads from Greece and Ireland amid concerns the rescue package may not be large enough to rescue Spain if necessary. While Sarkozy and Merkel rejected the extension of the fund on 25 November, the European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said yesterday the government should consider only as a movement.

The International Monetary Fund also supports increasing the plant after 2013, Reynders said at the end of a week that saw the Belgian bond spreads jumped to the highest in at least 17 years.

"The IMF is in favor of a larger mechanism," said Reynders, who said the fund is not necessary to increase immediately. "They are ready to continue the process if we decide in Europe."

IMF spokesman William Murray declined comment. Managing Director, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, is scheduled to join a regular meeting of ministers of finance euro region in Brussels on 6 December.

Reynders said the ministers discussed the prospects of Portugal, which is struggling to clear the speculation will also need a bailout.

"I said two weeks ago that is very necessary for Spain to seek help," he said. "Now we have to find a remedy to Portugal to see it is necessary or not, but to avoid infection. We will continue in the coming weeks and months."

Trichet Challenge

Reynders comments at a time when Trichet challenges political leaders to do more to set their budgets and end with a sovereign debt crisis is bounced through the European markets for over a year. Asked about increasing the size of the cash pool yesterday, said "everything they do must be proportionate to the size of the challenges."

"This is true in all aspects, both qualitative and quantitative," said Trichet. "They have to go as far as possible and be as efficient as possible."

A loss of market following the rescue of Ireland last week pushed the ECB in a new wave of bond purchases.

The extra yield investors demand to hold bonds Portuguese 10-year German bonds fell yesterday below 300 basis points for the first time since August after hitting 428 basis points on November 29. Ireland's performance in 10 years fell 30 basis points to 8.2 percent yesterday and the Spanish 10-year yield, which reached 5.67 percent on Nov. 30, closed at 5.1 percent.

Contagion

Belgium premium 10-year bond rose to 133 basis points on November 30.

"The difficulty we have is like other countries of Europe: we have to solve the problem of contagion from Greece, Ireland and Portugal, now maybe," said Reynders. "We have no real problem in Belgium at the moment like that."

The worsening of the crisis this week prompted Spain to push for more measures to cut its budget deficit just a week after saying it would not be necessary.

Spain yesterday Cabinet raised taxes on snuff and set a date for pension reform. Two days earlier, the government said it plans to raise about 14 billion euros ($ 18,400,000,000) from the sale of shares in the airport operator and the lottery company.

Ending

"The time is over, we have been talking for months," said Deputy Prime Minister Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba, referring to the pension plan. "We will work even harder to reach agreements."

EU ministers are hammering a mechanism of permanent crisis that was created in 2013 and also include a rescue fund.

"The permanent mechanism should be with a huge amount of money - if not organized, there's always speculation whether it is sufficient for one, two or more countries," said Reynders. "At the moment, next week will be discussion on approving the plan for Ireland and then have some information on the situation in Portugal."

The yield on the 10-year Treasury reaches 3 percent of European debt concern fades

Treasury yields rose above 10 years of 3 percent for the first time since July, easing concerns that the European debt crisis would spread and most reports showed U.S. economic recovery at full steam.

Public debt maturing in three years and older declined this week the Fed said the economy was strong in 10 of its 12 regions, such as recruitment of the improvement, expansion of manufacturing and provides stronger retail shopping season. A smaller increase than expected in November payrolls pushed bond yields lower than two years yesterday. Next week the Treasury Department to sell $ 66 billion in debt securities.

"Concerns about the situation in Europe has receded some and economic data has generally been positive, resulting in higher rates," Michael Pond, co-head of interest rate strategy in New York at Barclays Plc , one of the 18 primary dealers that trade with the Fed. "While the fundamentals have improved, there is still much uncertainty out there and the Federal Reserve is constantly buying, which limit the increase in performance."

yields ten-year note rose 14 basis points to 3.01 percent, according to market data BGCantor after touching 3.04 percent, the highest since July 28. The price of 2,625 per cent security due in November 2020 fell 1 4 / 32, or $ 11.25 per $ 10,000 face amount, to 96 23/32. The yield on the 30-year bond rose 11 basis points to 4.31 percent while two-year yields fell four basis points to 0.47 percent.

European Scene

Responsible for the European Central Bank policy meeting in Frankfurt on Dec. 2 kept the benchmark interest rate at a record low of 1 percent. ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said the central bank to delay its withdrawal from the emergency liquidity measures to combat the "acute" market tensions.

Ireland on November 28 became the second country to take advantage of EU aid, after Greece, prompting a flight to quality amid speculation that the country's crisis, funding can be extended to Portugal and Spain. The rescue package worth € Ireland 85000000000 ($ 114,000,000,000).

The ECB buy government bonds Irish and Portuguese, December 02 and yesterday, according to at least four operators with knowledge of operations, reducing concern that the ECB will not act aggressively to resolve the crisis. The ECB also bought Greece's debt, said another person, who requested anonymity because the bids are confidential. Trichet said the purchase voucher program was underway.

Cloudy

"The timing of these purchases of bonds is perfectly informed," said Peter Chatwell, fixed income strategist at Credit Agricole Corporate & Investment Bank in London. "The ECB is buying a year-end market very illiquid. Your purchases are always going to move the market in a big way."

The increase in the weekly performance of Treasuries came even as U.S. employers added fewer jobs than economists expected in November and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose.

Payrolls increased 39,000, less than the most pessimistic forecast of economists surveyed by us, after a revised gain of 172,000 last month, the Labor Department figures showed yesterday in Washington. The unemployment rate rose to 9.8 percent, the highest since April, while the hours worked and incomes stagnated.

The index of the Institute for Supply Management non-manufacturing, which covers about 90 percent of the economy, rose to 55 last month from 54.3 in October, according to the ISM report released yesterday. The index of pending home sales won a record 10 percent after falling 1.8 percent in September, the National Association of Realtors said on 02 December in Washington.

Economic News

"The market has seen a lot of good economic news lately and the jobs report was the first to break the trend of good economic data," said Kevin Flanagan, a Purchase, New York-based chief investment strategist at Morgan Stanley's fixed income Smith Barney.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its forecast for U.S. Gross domestic product growth next year to 2.7 percent from 2 percent. The U.S. economy will expand 3.6 percent in 2012, according to a Goldman Sachs report sent to clients on 1 December.

Fed officials on November 12 began a round of $ 600,000,000,000 second asset purchases to support the growth of the economy and reduce unemployment and prevent deflation.

The U.S. central bank bought 37.3 billion U.S. dollars in Treasury bonds during the week, according to the website of the New York Fed. Next week is planning four days of shopping.

Fed Lock

Bill Gross, manager of the largest bond fund in the world at Pacific Investment Management Co., said the Fed is unlikely to raise interest rates for several years with employment growing less than expected.

"The front of the curve is the strong part of the curve" with policy makers required to maintain its target rate from almost zero to sustain growth, Gross said yesterday in a radio interview. The difference between the two - and 10-year notes is known as the yield curve.

The extra yield investors pay to maintain a 10-year debt for two years was extended for a fourth straight day to 2.54 percentage points yesterday, the yield curve steepest since June.

The yield on the 10 years end the year at 2.64 percent, according to the median forecast in a us survey of 63 banks and securities firms, with recent estimates given more weight. The yield on the two years is expected to end 2010 at 0.5 percent.

sales of public debt next week includes $ 32 billion three-year notes on Dec. 7, $ 21 billion 10-year notes the next day and $ 13 billion of bonds at 30 years 9 December.

Trichet keeps the pressure from the EU and the ECB buys bonds to calm investors



The European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet called on political leaders to do more to set their budgets as Spain stepped up measures to combat the threat of contagion.

"We have the same message for all countries -" take all measures to ensure that next year's fiscal targets credible, '"he told RTL radio in Paris yesterday. Germany said that no ad hoc European Union negotiations are planned today or tomorrow in the current sovereign debt crisis in the region.

European finance ministers have spent the last three weekends locked in talks on how to rescue crisis leave Ireland and the region plunged Spain debt. Spanish bonds with sinking more in at least 11 years on 30 November, the government is implementing new deficit-cutting measures and only a week after saying it would not be necessary.

Council of Ministers of Spain yesterday raised taxes on snuff and set a date for a pension reform, two days after saying it plans to raise about 14 million euros (18.4 billion) by selling shares in the operator the airport and the lottery company.

"The time is over, we have been talking for months," said Deputy Prime Minister Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba, referring to the pension plan. "We will work even harder to reach agreements."

Euro finance ministers from the region will meet in Brussels on 6 December for a regular meeting.

Market Map

A loss of market following the rescue of Ireland must ECB Trichet in a new wave of purchases of bonds this week. The extra yield investors demand to hold bonds Portuguese 10-year German bonds yesterday fell below 300 basis points for the first time since August. Ireland's performance in 10 years fell 30 basis points to 8.2 percent yesterday and the Spanish 10-year yield, which reached 5.67 percent on Nov. 30, closed at 5.1 percent.

The last round of the crisis is forcing the leaders once again to reaffirm their support for the euro.

Trichet said he spoke on "an overview of the euro area," including the economy, in a meeting with French President Nicolas Sarkozy in Paris yesterday. Sarkozy said the euro was credible and had become "the second global reserve currency, the government said in a statement.

"The German government backs the euro," said German Chancellor Angela Merkel yesterday in Bayreuth, Germany. "It is the struggle for a stable euro and will do everything possible" to encourage other EU countries into embracing a "culture of stability" in its public finances.

Options

Options for EU leaders if the crisis worsens include the promotion of its 750 billion euros ($ 992 billion) bailout fund into a temporary or asset purchase program, reduce interest rates on loans rescue or joint bond issue for the 16 euro countries.

Trichet is putting pressure on EU governments to increase their arsenal to combat the crisis, suggesting yesterday that the emergency fund could be supplied. Asked about the size of the cash pool yesterday, said "everything they do must be proportionate to the size of the challenges."

"This is true in all aspects, both qualitative and quantitative" he said. "They have to go as far as possible and be as efficient as possible."

Objectives of the UN to resume negotiations on Climate Change Amid Rift between rich and poor countries

United Nations sent today try to revive progress in the climate negotiations stalled, the issuance of a draft of the possible holding of the meeting to bridge the gap between rich and poor

Margaret Mukahanana-Sangarwe, a Zimbabwean that keeps track of negotiations that could lead U.S. and developing nations in a new Treaty, shall deliver the document in Cancun, Mexico, in consultation with the delegates in the 193-nation talks.

China, India, Brazil and Venezuela say the discussions are at risk because Japan, Russia and Canada have refused to sign up for a second round of cuts in emissions of greenhouse gases once the current written in the Kyoto Protocol expires in 2012. That discord may spread to other areas of the talks.

"The result is at stake," said Todd Stern, the head of the U.S. delegation yesterday on his arrival in Cancun for the talks. "We do not know which way to go yet. We may, if countries do not seek to become obstacles to stop or slow the progression."

In addition, two panels set up to clear the most controversial issues in the negotiations of the proposals made by a result of Cancun. One suggested an emission target for the "comparable" to those for other developed countries under the Kyoto Protocol U.S.. The other gave him options for developing countries to limit pollution.

Venezuela and Bolivia

Venezuela and Bolivia, threatening to derail the talks, led a group of Latin American nations said that any agreement should include new commitments from rich countries to reduce emissions of gases blamed for damaging the Earth's atmosphere.

Japan's refusal to accept a second round of reductions from 2012 means that delegates in Cancun are "wasting time," said Claudia Salerno Venezuelan sent reporters yesterday. She said her country and others can not accept a set of decisions without agreement on a second phase of Kyoto.

"This is a position that is 180 degrees opposite of where Japan and several other developed countries," said Christiana Figueres, the United Nations diplomat who leads the talks. "We have to find a compromise that will make them all equally uncomfortable or comfortable alike."

Since last year's talks in Copenhagen a year ago, the envoys were reined in their ambitions, rather than shooting for progress in the protection of forests, the verification of emission reductions and channeling $ 100 billion a year in aid of the climate in developing countries.

"I'm not worried at all," said Eileen Claussen, former U.S. negotiator climate under President Bill Clinton, who is now president of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change in Arlington, Virginia. "The whole thing was postponed. I do not think it's going to derail anything."

Copenhagen Rift

In Copenhagen, USA President Barack Obama and the Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao, were among some 30 leaders who drafted an informal agreement that set targets for reducing emissions and pledged to work to sustain the gains of temperature from the 18 th century to 2 degrees Celsius ( 3.6 Fahrenheit). Bolivia and Venezuela are among six nations to reject the offer because they were not consulted.

"There are two scenarios for the next week," said Martin Kaiser, climate policy expert at Greenpeace. "The worst, but still a likely outcome is that going to bury the Kyoto Protocol here. The best is that the parties can agree on some building blocks towards a global deal next year with a clear timetable and a clear mandate to do so. "

Mexico's optimism

Mexico believes that the talks this year are developing "good" and that the future of the Kyoto treaty could be decided within two years, Environment Minister Juan Rafael Elvira Quesada, said in an interview on 2 December.

"The Kyoto Protocol is not necessary to change between now and December 10," when the current round of talks ended, he said. "We can devote to other areas in which the world awaits solutions."

With ministers arriving next week for the last few days some of the talks, the rhetoric is likely to be heated, said Artur Runge-Metzger, European Commission representative. Leaders like Hugo Chávez of Venezuela, Evo Morales of Bolivia and Rafael Correa of Ecuador's plan to attend.

"As we approach the ministerial segment, which typically see is that the different parts begin to raise the stakes and the tone becomes more acute," Runge-Metzger said. "Why not submit a minister with a small crisis to push a little harder?"

Stern, U.S. said "a lot" of work has been done on emissions from Copenhagen anchor of the promises made in the Danish capital, from a green and establishing a mechanism for disseminating clean technologies.

"I do not want to lose that because of conflict over the issue of Kyoto," he said. "Hopefully we can find common ground that both parties can live."

That's not enough to Bolivia, said Pablo Solon, the chief negotiator of the nation in Cancun.

"It's like telling your wife for me to stay married to you, I hope they'll let me take a second wife, '" said Solon.