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Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Chinese executives are reducing support for a stronger yuan



Chinese executives are reducing support for a stronger yuan, as U.S. critics easing to weaken the dollar and fueling asset bubbles in emerging market economies.

Shen Wenrong, president of Jiangsu Shagang Group Co., the nation's largest private steelmaker, said China should allow only a "token" recognition while the U.S. is "printing money to fuel inflation." Ma Weihua, executive director of China Merchants Bank Co.., Said the yuan should not go "too fast" and the Federal Reserve should show more restraint after announcing plans to buy 600 billion U.S. dollars of Treasury bonds. Jingjiang Xia, general manager of Topshow Outdoor Products Co., which makes baseball caps with logos of companies, said the government will not compromise growth more rapid exchange earnings.

Calls to limit the appreciation of Chinese executives, which in March supported an end to a two-year dollar link, reflecting the concern of the economic expansion may decrease as the central bank raises interest rates to cool inflation rapidly since 2008. Yuan forward contracts show traders are betting the currency will stop before the visit of Chinese President Hu Jintao to Washington next month and up by 2.1 percent next year.

"We expect the yuan to strengthen, but do not want the overly rapid pace of appreciation," Ma told China Merchants, the sixth largest bank by market value, in an interview on Dec. 17 in Beijing. "The U.S. is not taking responsibility. He called on China to adjust its yuan policy, but everyone is suffering from its measures of flexibility."

Forward Rates

Delivery within a month was trading at 6.6180 per dollar as of 11:41 am in Hong Kong, indicating little change from the spot rate of 6.6229. twelve-month contracts are stronger in 6.4863. Analysts predict that the yuan to appreciate another 5.5 to 6.28 percent in late 2011.

China's central bank allowed the currency to rise to 4.5 percent next year, said Rajeev De Mello, head of Asia investment in Singapore in Western Asset Management Co. The yuan has risen 3.1 percent since June 21, when the government ended a policy of fixing the exchange rate at about 6.83 per dollar to protect exporters during the global financial crisis. Thirty U.S. senators requested that the yuan is "appreciate significantly" before Hu's trip, in a letter on December 6 Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan.

'Ritmo faster "

"The sounds of U.S. executives probably did not worry China Chinese currency to appreciate more rapidly," said De Mello at Western Asset, which oversees 469 billion U.S. dollars of funds. "A currency appreciation would be too fast for the local economy as it has already been a lot of adjustment policies in place."

Shen, based in Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Shagang, said the government must balance to maintain export competitiveness and reducing purchasing costs of raw materials. imports of iron ore rose 26 percent last month to the second highest level this year, according to government data.

"China should not walk appreciation," said Shen. "As a major buyer of iron ore, has some benefits. But the benefits are limited."

Topshow

Xia in Yangzhou, Jiangsu, based in Topshow said his company raised prices of their hats by 3 percent to account for the yuan in the second half.

"The yuan's appreciation will be gradual," he said in an interview Dec. 22. "The central government clearly understands that a stronger yuan can do to the economy of China. I hope not risk that."

Executives at companies targeting the Chinese market, including Beijing-based computer maker Lenovo Group Ltd., a Shanghai-based China Eastern Airlines Corp. and China Merchants Bank, said in March that a stronger currency would reduce costs imports, increasing the purchasing power of consumers and promote world trade by currency.

buying dollars to weaken the yuan has boosted China's foreign exchange reserves at 2.65 trillion U.S. dollars and flooded the financial system with yuan. The trade surplus exceeded U.S. $ 20 billion for the fifth time in the sixth month of November as overseas sales rose 35 percent from the previous year, the customs agency said Dec. 10.

'Reality'

"Chinese companies have to face the reality of a kind of yuan to rise as the economy grows rapidly and increase foreign exchange reserves," said Zhang Wei, vice director of China Chamber of International Commerce, an organization run by the government to represent exporters and importers, told reporters on 17 December in Beijing. "They should also receive everything needed for the growing international pressure on China to allow the yuan to appreciate."

The People's Bank of China raised its benchmark rate for one-year deposits by 25 basis points, or 0.25 percentage point, on 25 December at 2.75 percent below the November inflation rate of 5.1 percent. The spread between the savings rate and its equivalent in U.S. came to 197 basis points this week, the most since at least 1996, increasing the attractiveness of holding assets yuan.

The economy grew 9.6 percent in the third quarter last year, after growing 10.3 percent in the second quarter and 11.9 percent in the first.

Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao told reporters in Beijing on November 8 Fed's asset purchases could "shock" of emerging markets by flooding the capital.

Dollar Index

Emerging markets funds have taken action on a record of 92.5 billion U.S. dollars and bond mutual funds in developing economies the income of 52.5 billion U.S. dollars this year, EPFR Global, a research firm Cambridge, based in Massachusetts, said last week.

So far, Fed policy has not led to a weaker dollar or faster inflation in the country.

IntercontinentalExchange Inc. 's dollar index, which tracks the greenback against the currencies of six major U.S. trading partners, is up 5 percent from 03 November, when the Fed announced the second round of purchases of debt under its plan of quantitative easing. U.S. consumer prices increased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in 2011, compared with a rate of 1.6 percent in 2010.

A "stable" evaluation is sufficient to promote the use of yuan in trade and global finance, Hong Weipeng, head of fixed income investments Haitong International Asset Management, said in an interview Dec. 22 in Hong Kong. The unit of China's largest brokerage by assets to establish a fund of 5 billion yuan (754 million U.S. dollars) in August, which invests in bonds renminbi offshore.

Promote stability

"Investors do not want to see the yuan rise 10 percent a month and then go down by 20 percent next year," he said. "In the short term, if global financial markets become more volatile, either due to the debt crisis of the European emerging markets or face higher inflation, then that can slow the yuan's appreciation."

Yuan settlements trade increased 160 percent in the third quarter from three months to 126.5 billion yuan, the central bank said on 2 November.

Sinosteel Corp., the nation's largest iron ore trader, favors those transactions, because of the potential gains in local currency, the president Tianwei Huang said. Ma at the China Merchants Bank said, although the bank is profiting from this business, "too fast" for a finding would be harmful.

"The trend for the yuan to rise is, without doubt, as China's economy has grown rapidly and it is impossible that the country will always maintain as large foreign exchange reserves and trade surplus," he said. "But if the appreciation is very fast, many Chinese companies may go bankrupt."

India M & A may exceed the record 71 billion U.S. dollars this year of the agreements

India M & A in 2011 may exceed the record 71 billion U.S. dollars this year of the agreements, led by oil and gas, metals and mining companies, according to M & A bankers like Topsy Standard Chartered Plc Mateo .

$ 10,700,000,000 billionaire Sunil Mittal's acquisition of mobile operators in Africa was an almost fourfold increase in acquisitions this year exceeded 2,007 offers from 69 billion.

"Large Indian corporations are going through a growth phase: it is thought that there are plenty of opportunities, they think they have access to capital", 35 years old, Mathew, CEO of M & A for India, said in an interview Dec. 27. The London-based bank rose 13 places to number two among India acquisition advisers this year, its highest level. "They are taking advantage of positive sentiment to carry out long-term strategic transactions," he said.

Companies in Asia-Pacific, including India and China are expected to be more buyers purchasing in 2011 and offers attractive valuations of national unity and global competition .
Foreign firms may guide the Indian pharmaceutical companies and consumers and local companies seeking natural resources, said Bank of America Corp., the No. 3 spot.

'Highly active'

"Hotel output remains highly active, as the international company valuations are still relatively depressed, and Indian companies have access to debt and equity capital", Saurabh Agrawal, director of 41 years of age, banking India's investment in Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America, wrote in an e-mail response to questions on 14 December. "Local and incoming offers will take place."

cross-border deals rose to a record 59.2 billion U.S. dollars in India this year, after New Delhi Mittal Bharti Airtel Ltd. in March agreed to buy assets Zain Africa for $ 10.7 billion. Out of mergers and acquisitions accounted for 74 percent of that volume.

The acquisition spree in India, China and Brazil contrasts with the slowdown in global tenders. Mergers worldwide have declined 46 percent between 2007 and the record. In the U.S., the world's largest market, volumes are 51 percent lower, and levels in Europe have fallen by 59 percent.

Pending deals

Pending jobs in India, including the sale of a controlling stake in Mumbai-based software maker and Patni Computer Systems Ltd. 's Honda Motor Co. held in New Delhi, Hero Honda Motors Ltd. equity firms private and Carlyle Group are bidding to acquire the shares, people familiar with the matter have said.

A group of state enterprises hired Citigroup Inc. last week to prepare a bid for Sydney Ltd., based Riversdale Mining, the fight against a 3.9 billion U.S. dollars (3.9 billion) offer to host London, Rio Tinto Group.

"The funds will be a big focus, with companies from India looking to consolidate its position in oil and gas, metals and mining," Mathew said Standard Chartered. "There will be a particular focus on India's public sector companies seeking oil assets in international and Indian companies looking to acquire the assets of iron ore and coal for their steel operations and power. "

Natural resources and telecommunications will continue to drive mergers and acquisitions, said Frank Hancock, managing director of corporate finance at Barclays Capital in Mumbai. Telecom acquisitions accounted for 26 percent of deals in India this year, while energy companies and mining accounted for another 30 percent.

Rules of Acquisition

A proposed revision of India's M & A rules also may stoke interest in national objectives, Hancock, 50, said in an e-mail Dec. 14. Barclays is ranked No. 4 in acquisitions in India, its highest ever position.

"While border still represent 70 percent of the cake, the balance between input and output will become more uniform," said Hancock. The new regulations "will make it easier for a listed company to be responsible and removed from the list since then."

A panel formed by the capital market regulator in India in July recommended increasing the threshold level of participation that would trigger mandatory open offers to 25 percent from 15 percent. Shareholders who already has more than 25 percent may also offer to buy 10 percent, half of the current requirements.

India Aims

Facilitate the limits of foreign direct investment also strengthens the appetite foreign companies' acquisition targets for India, Sameer Nath, managing director and head of mergers and acquisitions in the local unit of Citigroup, said in an emailed response to December 20 questions. New York, Citigroup is No. 6 among the advisers of purchase in India this year.

"The liberalization of FDI in the context of a sensible way would be positive for all parties," said Nath. Foreign companies may look to India for its telecommunications, healthcare and consumer industries, while local businesses will be overseas oil and gas, metals, mining and technology assets, he said.

Funding remains an important prerequisite for the acquisition in the nation, including bankers, said Nath. Output deals are particularly dependent on funds, Agrawal wrote.

A decline in borrowing costs has allowed Indian firms to substitute cheaper debt financing, putting them in position now to be more aggressive in acquisitions, "said Ganeshan Murugaiyan, managing director and head of investment banking in the local unit of UBS AG. The Swiss bank was ranked No. 7 this year in advising on acquisitions in India.

"The environment of benign debt markets, especially the second half of 2010, has helped many corporations to refinance debt or raise funds at attractive long-term costs," wrote Murugaiyan, 37, Dec. 14 . "Against this background, we expect Indian companies to be more greedy of next year."

China may need to build more affordable housing next year

China may need to build more affordable housing next year provided 10 million units as the target can not be "sufficient" to meet national demand, according to the International Strategy and Investment Group.

The Government plans to almost double the supply of affordable housing 2011 of 5.8 million units this year, as it introduces more measures to curb property speculation, Prime Minister Wen Jiabao said in a radio program on 26 December.

"During the last decade, a delay of about 20 million homes have to be satisfied," said Donald Straszheim, director of Los Angeles, research in China in the ISI, which ranked first in the categories of macro and Economics survey by Institutional Investor magazine last year.

Increasing the supply of housing is one of the measures China took this year to curb housing prices. Property values up 18 months in November after the government suspended the mortgages for the purchase of a third country and the commitment to accelerate the trials of the property tax. In October, the central bank raised interest rates for the first time in three years and increased borrowing costs again on 25 December.

China also stressed the construction of social housing in its annual economic powerhouse earlier this month that sets out plans for next year, and ordered local governments to set their own targets for these households with approach to the construction of public rental housing.

Major inputs

The country has 3.7 million of the 5.8 million low-cost housing by 2010, said Wen. The government is likely to be completed 75 percent of its goal next year because "demand for commodities, labor, the ability to plan and execute, with the space, coordination of subcontractors and tickets will be significant," said Straszheim.

The increase in China's social housing will boost the nation's economic growth by one percentage point to 0.2 per year, according to Straszheim. "This is important, but not large enough to change the general course of the economy," he said in an emailed response to questions yesterday afternoon.

Only 6 percent of Chinese urban households living in social housing, including low-rent houses and apartments with controlled prices, according to a report from China International Capital Corp. in June. The government offers land that costs less than market value, and developers are forced to sell homes at regulated prices.

China's social housing is a key investment area in the government's five year economic plan, and that bodes well for the cement and machinery, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in November.

$ 71 billion investment

China invested 470 billion yuan ($ 71 billion) in social housing construction this year, representing 60 percent of the budget year, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of 20 September, said a statement. China also attaches a subsidy of 69.2 billion yuan for the construction of these homes this year, the ministry said.

The social housing scheme may add 1.5 percentage points to economic growth in China in 2010 and 2011, Bank of America Corp. 's unit of Merrill Lynch said in a report of 15 December. The brokerage estimates that 5.8 million units, including 3 million new homes and 2.8 million renovated apartments, will cost 700 billion yuan this year. The 10 million next year planned to add another 1.3 billion yuan, he said.

Shanghai plans to 15 million square feet of affordable housing in 2011, up 25 percent this year, support from the city of Housing and Building Management Office, said on 24 December. The port city of Tianjin in northeastern China hopes that 190,000 of these households next year, the state news agency Xinhua reported on 27 December.

China's building boom continues "without ceasing" and has even increased since the government enacted policies to cool speculation, Jim Chanos, the hedge fund manager who predicted that the market may crash after 2010, said an interview Television earlier this month. Many of the policies in China have been designed to be "skirt", she said, and reiterated its view that China is in a "treadmill to hell."

Brazil raised its tariffs on toy imports from China

Brazil raised its tariffs on toy imports from China in a bid to help the South American country, manufacturers of administrative officers affected by an increase of 37 percent of the real against the yuan over the past two years.

Tariffs on 14 types of toys ranging from dolls and puzzles for tricycles and electric train sets will increase to 35 percent from 20 percent until late 2011, the Chamber of Foreign Trade said in an emailed statement yesterday .

The chamber said it was acting at the request of toy manufacturers to help Brazil, Äúfight, AU increased imports, 90 percent of whom come from China. The higher tariffs affect goods whose imports totaled 290 million U.S. dollars between January and November this year, according to the Ministry of Commerce.

China, the Ministry of Commerce AM "No, AOT respond to a faxed request for phone calls and comments were not a spokesman, TWA said.

Brazilian imports of Chinese products in the 12 months to August increased 37 percent to $ 21,400,000,000, of $ 15 billion throughout 2009, according to a study published this month by Brazil, the AM state development bank. The increase in imports from China, driven by the yuan, the rate of competitive exchange administrative officers, threatening to displace domestic sales of manufacturers from Brazil and has implications Äúimportant, the AU for the country's industrial development administrative officers, said the bank, known as BNDES.

True, the AM 37 percent gain against the yuan over the past two years is the third best performer among major currencies after the Australian dollar and South African rand. The front of 12 months without delivery suggests traders are betting the yuan will strengthen to 2.2 percent in a year of its current cash value of 6,625 per U.S. dollar.

Toy sales in Brazil will reach 3 billion reais (1.8 billion) this year, 49 percent of which come from products made abroad, according to estimates from Brazil, MA Manufacturers Association toys. In 2009, imported toys accounted for 46.8 percent of 2.7 billion reais in sales, the group said.

Lawson CEO plans to open about 10,000 stores in China in 2020 "drinks, food and magazines"



Lawson CEO Takeshi Niinami Inc. plans to open about 10,000 stores in China in 2020, selling drinks, food and magazines. To remove it, the Tokyo-based executive is packing its bags from Shanghai.

As the second largest Japanese convenience store operator plans to boost sales outlets in more than 30 times, Niinami, 51 from China, will spend a month in the country since May and in less than a year, said a press conference in Tokyo on 20 December. Lawson is also training to recruits of China in Japan to work as managers of the stores in their country of origin, where the company lags behind rival Seven & I Holdings Co. and FamilyMart Co.

"To get an idea of daily life in China and to take risks, I have to live there a couple of months," said Niinami. "Standing all time in Japan, which tend to focus only on downside risks."

Niinami plans highlight how Japanese companies have China may overtake Japan as second largest economy in the world this year as a shrinking and aging of the population is obscured growth prospects in the country. It is also an example of how executives of the nation are trying to overcome the lack of international experience as they expand abroad.

"Move Lawson shows how Japanese companies are trying to globalize," said Tsuyoshi Komori, president of the Tokyo-based consultant for Mercer Japan Ltd. "Spending time and energy that flows demonstrate China's commitment Niinami."

Lawson rose 0.7 percent to 4.035 yen at the end of three hours of negotiations in Tokyo. The shares have fallen 1.6 percent this year, compared with a 1.9 percent drop in the Nikkei 225 Stock Average.

Household expenditure

Lawson operated 318 stores in mainland China since November, according to the website of the company. The nation is Lawson's single market outside Japan, where he had 9,935 points of sale.

The momentum in China is driven in part by a decline in Japanese consumer spending, which fell in 2008 and 2009, according to figures released by the Cabinet Office.

Japan's population is declining from a peak of 127.8 million in 2004 and may hit bottom in less than 90 million in 2055, according to the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research.

In contrast, the number of middle income and wealthy consumers in China, the world's most populous country with more than 1.3 million people, you can almost triple to 415 million dollars in 10 years, Boston Consulting Group Inc. said November.

7-Eleven, FamilyMart

Lawson competitors have surpassed the use of growth in China. Seven & I Holdings, the world's leading convenience retailer operated 708 7-Eleven outlets in mainland China since November, said Minoru Matsumoto, a spokesman for the company. FamilyMart had 492 stores in the country, according to its website.

Lawson opened its first China store in Shanghai in 1996, according to its website. The three companies are based in Tokyo.

"To reach a goal of 10,000 stores in 2020, no single example of leadership of the CEO, but also the logistics and human resources will be needed," says Naozumi Nishimura, TIW Inc. analyst in Tokyo with a recommendation "neutral" rating on the shares of Lawson. "I'll be paying attention to the rapidly expanding and how fast to turn a profit from it."

Lawson's growth in China has been delayed by lack of human resources, Niinami said in an interview in April. An initial effort to send their Chinese employees to Japan for training proved to be too long, he said. Changing its strategy, the company began hiring and training of Chinese graduates of Japanese universities.

"The new system started three or four years, and now I think we have the resources to accelerate our business abroad," said Niinami in April.

International Experience

cross-border training and experience is also a challenge level management in Japanese companies. Japan ranked 49th among 58 countries this year on international experience for senior managers, according to the World Competitiveness Yearbook 2010 published by the IMD business school in Switzerland International.

The number of Japanese living in China almost tripled in one decade to 127,282 in October 2009, according to Japanese Foreign Ministry. Shanghai is home to 48,255, according to the ministry.

Niinami international experience includes business start trading Chinese sugar Mitsubishi Corp., a trading company based in Tokyo, said in an interview with LA 21, a monthly magazine in 2008. He is also a graduate of Harvard Business School.

He began his career with Mitsubishi, the largest shareholder in Lawson, in 1981 and became president of convenience store operator in 2002. In 2005 he was appointed CEO of Lawson.

China Gains

Under Niinami, Lawson's operating profit has increased in the last seven consecutive fiscal years. The company expects net income in the 12 months ending in February could rise to 22 billion yen (266 million) 12,600,000,000 yen last fiscal year, while revenues may fall to 430 million yen 467 200 000 000 JPY.

In China, operating profit was at a level of balance last fiscal year, according to the website of the company.

Niinami plans to send a team of officials, including company directors, in China ahead of his own arrival, said Dec. 20.

The director general is also improving speaking skills of China, said Song Wenzhou, founder of the Tokyo-based Softbrain Co. and a strategic advisor to Lawson in China.

"These days, when Mr. Niinami called me, speaking Chinese with pronunciation as well be confused with China", the song, a native of China, said in an interview Dec. 17.

After working in China may be increasingly seen as a qualification for senior executive positions in Japanese companies, as well as having served in the U.S. was a prerequisite for some, said Song.

Niinami, speaking at the conference of December 20, made the same suggestion.

"I will send the best people in our company" China said. "If they succeed, they may be in line for my job."

Suicides in India & burst out of the door covered in flames and screaming for help.

Tanda Srinivas was to rest in the courtyard of his house with two rooms in the southern Indian town Mondrai shortly after noon on Oct. 28 when his wife, Shobha, burst through the door covered in flames and screaming for help.

The mother of 30-year-old, two boys had poured 2 liters of kerosene on her and lit a match. The couple had argued bitterly the previous day about how they would repay multiple loans, including micro-credit lent him small sums of money to dozens of villagers, says Venkateshwarlu Masram, a doctor who called the ambulance.

Shobha, the heads of several groups of women borrowers, was being pressed to pay the interest on its 12,000 rupees (265 dollars) loan. Lenders were also demanding that the coverage of other women, even though the state had restricted the activities of microfinance two weeks earlier.

When Srinivas, 35, tried to snuff out the flames with a blanket, polyester clothes caught fire. Within three days, both parents had died, leaving their children orphans.

Now, in this November morning, the grandfather of sick children 70 years old and blind grandmother say they are taking care of Aravind, 10 and Upender, 13, in the farming village, where men earn an extract of palm collection of life to make alcoholic beverages.

None of the families of children can help full-time, says her grandmother 60 years of age, Saiamma, breaking to mourn.

Hub microcredit in India

Mondrai horrible scene, 80 kilometers (50 miles) from the city of Warangal, has played in dozens of ways in Andhra Pradesh, the fifth largest state in India by area and site of about one third of the country $ 5.3 billion in microfinance loans as of September 30.

More than 70 people committed suicide in the state on March 1 to November 19 to escape or terminate payments to the agony he had shot his debt, according to the Society for Elimination of Rural Poverty, a government agency collected data on microfinance related deaths of police reports and the press.

Andhra Pradesh, where three-quarters of the 76 million people live in rural areas, suffered a total of 14,364 cases of suicide in the first nine months of 2010, according to state police.

A growing number of deaths related to microfinance, spurred the state to curb the practices of collection in mid-October, says Ramos Subrahmanyam, principal secretary for rural development.

"Every life is important," he says.

Turn evil

On November 8, police arrested two leaders of the lender Share Microfin Ltd. allegations of complicity in another suicide, this time from a mother of 22 years of age. Share Microfin not respond to requests for comments on this story.

In India strives to provide a decent education, healthcare and employment to millions of people remain trapped in poverty, microcredit - lending small amounts to the most needy of the world to help them make a living - has taken a perverse twist.

Microcredit has become "Walmartized" by the unrestricted sale of cheap goods to the poor, says Malcolm Harper, president of the company's ratings Micro-Credit Ratings International Ltd. in Gurgaon, India.

"The sale of debt and the sale of drugs," says Harper, 75, has authored over 20 books on microfinance and other issues. "The sale of debt for illiterate women in Andhra Pradesh, one has to be more responsible."

Effect against

K. Venkat Narayana, professor of economics at Warangal Kakatiya University, has studied how microfinance lenders convinced of women's groups to borrow.

"Microfinance is supposed to empower women," she says. "Microfinance boys spent the social and economic progress, and these women ended up becoming slaves."

boom in microcredit industry in India is part of a worldwide phenomenon that began as a charitable movement, but now attracts private capital seeking high growth and profitability.

Banco Compartamos, SA, a former nonprofit that is now the largest lender to Mexico's working poor, raised about $ 467 million in 2007 its initial public offering. IPO August SKS Microfinance Ltd., the largest microfinance institution in India, drew further attention to the industry.

SKS started operations in 1998 as a nongovernmental organization run by Vikram Akula, 42, an Indian-American with a doctorate in political science from the University of Chicago.

The company raised 16.3 billion rupees from the sale of 16,800,000 shares at 985 rupees each. SKS stock peaked at Rs 1404.85 on 15 September. As of December 28, which had fallen to 652.85 rupees.

Andhra Pradesh crisis

On 15 October, the Andhra Pradesh government imposes restrictions that bar microlenders' collection agents visiting borrowers and businesses must obtain local authority approval of new loans. The rules have stopped lending and repayments. levels of recovery of loans in the state have been reduced to less than 20 percent from 98 percent previously, according to an industry group.

The agitation in Andhra Pradesh is a long way from the vision of Muhammad Yunus.

The former economics professor won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2006 for his pioneering work in Bangladesh to provide small amounts of money to entrepreneurs too poor to get bank loans.

Yunus, 70, discovered more than three decades ago when money is lent to women in poverty can begin to make a living, and most of them pay for it.

Yunus started the Grameen Bank project in 1976 to extend banking services to the poor. Since then it has provided $ 9870000000 and recovered 8.76 billion U.S. dollars, 97 percent of the 8,330,000 borrowers are women.

'Wrong direction'

Yunus says he is not against making a profit. But companies seeking to claim windfall and pervert the original intent of microfinance help the poor.

The golden rule for a loan should be the cost of funds, more than 10 percent, he says.

"Marketing is the wrong direction," said Yunus, speaking in a telephone interview from the capital of Bangladesh, Dhaka. "An IPO is the trigger point for a lot of money personally and for the company and shareholders."

David Gibbons, president of CASHPOR micro credit, micro-credit institution without profit to poor women in India in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, says public for nonprofit lenders face a conflict.

"They have to decide between the interests of their clients and the interests of their investors," he says.

"You can not do"

Gibbons, 70, says he learned that lesson when he tried to raise 4 million pounds ($ 6.2 million) from two wealthy London-based non-resident Indian investors in November 2006.

The talks collapsed due to differences on expectations of return on capital and other terms of the contract, he says.

"That's what made me think of this simply can not do," he says.

Indian microlenders Grameen Bank Yunus differ in fundamental ways. To protect the depositors' money after bankruptcies among non-bank financial companies in the decade of 1990, the Reserve Bank of India in 1997 made it more difficult for them to meet the requirements to receive deposits from the public. Only 36 microfinance institutions are registered as non-banking financial companies, according to information supplied by the Reserve Bank.

"I feel so sad"

Indian microlenders same bank loans by 13 percent or more on average and extend credit to the poor. They charge interest rates that may rise to 36 percent, says Alok Prasad, executive director of the Microfinance Institutions Network, representing 44 microfinance institutions. He said that 44 companies are registered with the Reserve Bank.

SKS Microfinance gets funds to about 12 percent interest and paid to the 24.52 percent in Andhra Pradesh, a spokesman Atul Takle said.

In Bangladesh, the Grameen Bank has a banking license in 1983, enabling it to take deposits. Which charges 5 percent for education loans and 8 percent for home loans. Beggars can borrow for free, and the main loan interest is capped at 20 percent, says Yunus.

"Microfinance has been abused and distorted," he says. "I feel very sad because this is not microcredit I created."

Microfinance India has its roots in the financing of the community's decades-old informal.

The NGOs pioneered cooperative loans, now known as SHGs, with initial capital of National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development. Encouraged by these projects, the state bank worked to link groups backed loans to local bank branches in 1992.

For profit companies

nonprofit organizations, subsequently became involved as intermediaries between banks and borrowers. For 2005, non-profit such as SKS and Share Microfin had become lucrative businesses.

Akula SKS attracted investors such as Khosla Ventures, the company Sun Microsystems Inc. co-founder Vinod Khosla, venture capital.

Capital flowed into the new industry of commercial banks, joint ventures and private equity.

Sequoia Capital in Menlo Park, California, and Bangalore-based Infosys Technologies Ltd. Chairman NR Narayana Murthy were among the sponsors. George Soros's Quantum Fund has a 0.37 percent stake in SKS.

private equity investors has only 515 million U.S. dollars in India microfinance firms since 2006, the Risk Research Service Intelligence, said.

"The explosive growth"

More than half of the 66 microfinance India followed by Micro-Credit Ratings are for-profit companies. Some 260 had 26.7 million microfinance borrowers and 183.44 billion rupees of loans outstanding as of March, according to the State of India's Microfinance Sector Report 2010.

"In the last two years we have been seeing explosive growth," says N. Srinivasan, who wrote the report. "Microfinance institutions found it easy to make money. Not that making money is bad, but when you go overboard and say he needs money for growth, you get in trouble."

Polelpaka Pula, mother of two, says she saw her running microlenders Pegadapalli people to compete for business - with tragic results.

Her husband, Prakash, a painter who made 250 rupees a day, first borrowed from a group of villagers to build a house. Each participant called chit fund contributed 1,000 rupees a month and took a turn collecting the full fee.

microfinance staff from L & T Finance Ltd., Financial Ltd. Sphoorty Spandana, SKS Microfin Share and began offering loans in the village since 2004, she says.

The couple, as they contribute to the bottom of the village, had five loans totaling more than 64,000 rupees. It charged them with payments of 7,300 rupees a month, over 5,000 maximum monthly income Prakash rupee.

Usurer

When Prakash ran out of microcredit loans, went to a village moneylender, who charged 100 percent interest.

End and the debt of the globe several lenders, Prakash was hanged in November 2009, his wife said.

The small house he had dreamed of was never completed. Only the foundation is located next to the house of his parents, a small structure with a roof of palm leaves.

Spandana said that none of the names of the couple is in their database. The company says the media mistakenly attributed the harassment to microfinance, especially when Spandana is mentioned.

"Triggers of suicide are multiple, such as stress at home," the company said in an email response to questions about death.

"Subprime" in parallel

SKS Takle spokesman said that his staff has been practicing responsible lending over the past 12 years. Your employees are not paid according to the size of the loan or the reimbursement rate.

"This ensures against giving loans larger than a borrower can pay," says Takle. A spokesman for L & T Finance declined comment.

Overlending in Andhra Pradesh suggests the U.S. subprime crisis, says Lakshmi Shyam-Sunder, director of corporate risk IFC in Washington, which invests in microfinance institutions.

"These loans were originally seen as the expansion of home ownership to poor people, doing good," says Shyam Sunder.

As the industry expanded, so it became a major benefit for some borrowers, she said. "The tension arises when working in activities with social objectives and commercial interests," she says, adding that it is important to find the right balance.

The companies pursue profits in the midst of poor corporate governance are undermining the intent of microfinance, says Gibbons CASHPOR.

"Loans Gone Wild"

During the past five years, the number of microcredit in India has increased an average of 88 percent annually and accounts of borrowers have risen 62 percent a year, making India the world's largest microfinance industry add Micro-credit, he says.

"It is rampant consumer loans Gone Wild" says Gibbons. "There is more poverty reduction."

Sumir Chadha, managing director of Sequoia Capital Advisors SA in India., Says nonprofit that is difficult to find someone to lend to the poor.

"Capitalism is not necessarily a bad thing," says Chadha, whose company has a 14 percent stake in SKS. "If they can not benefit the poor, which means that no company will serve the poor -. And then it will be worse than before"

Chand Bee's Tale

To Chand Bee, 50 years old, who led three groups of borrowers in Andhra Pradesh, too many loans almost became his undoing.

She says she left home after collectors started harassing her. He took out several loans from 2005, and the names of Spandana as one of the lenders.

Some of the money paid for the funeral of his eldest son. When he was behind on payments, loan officers said threatened to humiliate me in front of the neighbors and took to sell their young grandchildren in prostitution.

She left her neighborhood in Warangal, where she lived with her deaf husband, some of his eight children and more than a dozen grandchildren.

After living as a beggar for a year, the bee Chand returned home in early November when family members told him that the State Ordinance which came into force on October 15 it had suspended some collections. Spandana A spokeswoman said that none of the four customers of the company in the district with the name of Chand Bee has had trouble paying.

Almost every household in the neighborhood of 250 people - where children play barefoot in the lanes between the rows of huts in ruins - has taken several loans. So many microfinance ply their trade as residents refer to them for the days listed: business Mondays, Tuesdays and business, etc.

Debt Free

Rabbani, a widow with four children, is one of the few women who are debt free. She put a spice shop with two loans, which returned with its small profit. After seeing the pain of her neighbors, she vowed never to seek another microcredit.

SKS said that 17 of his clients have committed suicide, because none of the loans are delinquent or harassment.

"Suicide is a complex issue," Akula said.

Sitting in the conference room on the second floor of the seven-story headquarters SKS in Hyderabad, where posters of smiling women running crafts and tailoring decorate the doors of the elevators, Akula says there is nothing wrong with the pursuit of profit.

"So what if a poor woman the amount of an investor?" Says Akula, dressed in his trademark kurta shirt Fabindia knee, ethnic clothing salesman by rural artisans. "What matters to her is to get a loan on time at a reasonable price that allows you to earn more income."

Commercial risk

SKS become a trading company allowed the company to take advantage of an unlimited source of funds from private investors. That, in turn, that company grow and reduce the incidence, Akula said.

"Interest rates have declined over time," he says. "Because the works, which return year after year," he says of his clients.

His autobiography, "A Fistful of Rice" (Harvard Business Review Press, 2010), gives an idea of the expansion unit.

Akula, a former consultant at McKinsey & Co., studied McDonald's Corp. and Burger King Holdings Inc. in 2005 to learn about the rapid formation of the unskilled. He devised a two-month course to train about 1,000 new loan officers per month.

"We had a goal for SKS, grow, grow, grow as fast as we could," he writes. "We could practice of microfinance in a way that serve the poorest people than anyone had ever thought possible."

Akula said that the commercial model of microfinance is not the only way.

Returning to 'Roots'

"It is an important complement to other forms of financing," he says. The new microfinance firms do not take time to build trust, Akula said. "As an industry, we must return to our roots," he says.

The Reserve Bank is expected to report on the industry in January. The Ministry of Finance is planning new rules.

Sequoia Capital Chadha says she is concerned about "regulatory uncertainty" created by the ordinance of the state and federal regulations preferred. national standards would prevent individual states the credit discipline of resignation damage loans, Prasad Microfinance Institutions "he says.

"It's no different to the need for good regulation for investment shares or start a manufacturing plant," SKS investor Khosla says.

"People not profit"

From the perspective of Yunus, it is essential that the industry is moving away to seek the maximum benefit and to refocus on the poor.

"If not, are helping the lives of the poor," he says. "You're not patient. You are not restricted. You do not have empathy for people. You just use them to make money. That's what the blinds when you're in for-profit world. We must see people, not profit. "

Any change would be too late to Atthili Padma and Shivalingam, a young couple in the village of cotton farming Chennampalli Andhra Pradesh.

Padma, a mother of 22 years of age, in two, left his home on 7 October with her 18 month old daughter and 4 year olds, according to Maruthi Prasad, a superintendent of station Shankarampet police.

Padma's death

Instead of heading to the home of his parents, as he often did, walked 2 miles in the opposite direction. Came to an ancient Hindu temple where the villagers worship the Lord Shiva, the god of destruction. Padma continued until he stood before a pit once used to irrigate crops, his father-in-law, Pochaiah he says. There is no one to dissuade her, she jumped into the well with their children.

The day before he died, Padma had visited his parents after arguing with her husband more loans they could not afford, according to Mangamma, neighbor of the couple.

Her marriage five years ago was arranged by her parents and the couple had become close and had not fought before that day, Mangamma says. The loans amounted to 20,000 rupees, Pochaiah says.

Padma's death is recorded as a suicide related to microfinance in the list by the Society for Elimination of Rural Poverty.

Sad day for Microfinance "

Police arrested the husband of Padma, Shivalingam, October 13 for alleged complicity in the suicide of Padma. It also claimed that he had harassed, provide money to marry him, which is illegal in India, according to Narayana, a police officer at the station Shankarampet.

The police made two further arrests on November 8: Share Microfin managers Raghavender Sriram, Kumaraswami Polapalli 27, 22, also for alleged complicity in suicide, according to the superintendent Prasad. Both managers and Shivalingam have been released on bail and are awaiting a court hearing, Prasad said.

Proponents and Khosla say investors and microfinance - when it works properly - is the best way of giving the rural poor a chance at a better life.

The tragedy in India has the worst possible outcome, says Gibbons CASHPOR, whose speech opened November 15 session the morning of the annual summit of Microfinance India in New Delhi.

"This is a sad day for microfinance," said Gibbons, who has promoted the movement of the last two decades.

"People often ask me, 'What are you doing here?" He told the audience. "I was always proud to say:" I'm doing microfinance. "Now when people ask, I feel ashamed. I feel like hiding somewhere."

Julian Assange pushes limits In his work life and his sex life



For better or for worse, Julian Assange push the limits. In his professional life and your sex life, which is situated on the border that divides the legal conduct of the crime, although it is not clear which side of that border it occupies.

U.S. officials are looking for a way to prosecute him for publishing secrets while women in Sweden say they crossed the line between horseplay consensus and rape.

Incorporate the release of the journalists say Assange of thousands of classified documents is not real journalism. And yet, they realize their situation is linked to yours. Some have urged the Justice Department not to judge knowing reporter essential task of discovering the truth could suffer if it did.

For all lines we would like to point out, the law makes no distinction between civil publishers of classified documents, and shall be loosed in raw form or verified WikiLeaks developed with interviews, analysis and wrapped in the form of articles in the New York Times.

As the value of the documents, some little more than gossip content, while others showed very newsworthy. Last week, for example, we learn that the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration is doing more than its name implies.

It has become "a global intelligence organization" with "so vast spying operation that has to fend off foreign politicians who want to use against their political enemies," the New York Times, citing diplomatic cables obtained WikiLeaks.

Israel is about to admit and apologize for using forged documents to get UK within the range of killing a Hamas leader in Dubai. The admission will come as WikiLeaks was about to release documents showing the role of Israel.

Wikileaks on Russia

In Russia, the independent weekly Novaya Gazeta newspaper, said that soon Wikileaks published documents that reveal corruption in the Kremlin. What can not be that good?

Without doubt, carelessness with documents tightened Assange diplomatic communications. Whether it also has killed as some predicted, do not know.

But unless the publication created a "clear and present danger" to national security, such as Supreme Court Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr. put it in a case of 1919, the Constitution prohibits the prosecution of U.S. for freedom of expression for most of us.

As recently as 2001, the Supreme Court said that "absent a need to first order", a radio commentator could not be sued for broadcasting a tape that someone else had arrived illegal spying by telephone. In that tape, an official of the labor force had been talking about a teachers' strike.

Private Manning

Yes, the government can prohibit their employees to escape, so the U.S. Army arresting individuals suspected of leaking to Assange, Bradley Manning, who faces a court martial. It is also why researchers are looking for evidence that the leak Assange encouraged or helped to present the material.

Loading Assange of conspiring with the leaker could put it in the Espionage Act of 1917. But even if he did conspire, how Assange be different from a reporter from the Washington Post that leads to a government source in the disclosure of secret information that the public really should know?

Assange prosecution would be "a dangerous precedent for journalists in any publication or medium term, which could chill investigative journalism," wrote the 20 professors of journalism at Columbia University to the Attorney General Eric Holder and President Barack Obama this month .

History shows that "the government's overreaction to the publication of material leaked to the press has always been more damaging to American democracy than their own losses," the teachers wrote.

Nixon's response

Congress and presidents have periodically attempted to punish perfectly constitutional discourse, dating back to the Alien and Sedition Acts of 1787 and again during the Civil War, the First World War and the Cold War, as the University of Chicago professor right Geoffrey Stone told Congress this month.

The baby boomers may be recalled that 1969 news reports revealed the secret bombing of Cambodia led the United States to a kind of backlash by President Richard Nixon. He ordered wiretapping officials and journalists to locate leaks.

Two years later, Nixon was so outraged by Daniel Ellsberg of Pentagon Papers fall to the New York Times that he ordered a group of attendees to find and plug leaks.

These "plumbers" as it was released, stolen office of Ellsberg's psychiatrist in search of dirt, and broke into the Watergate headquarters of the Democratic National Committee in 1972.

End of the war

The idea of a president leading a criminal enterprise to suppress the truth and punish those who reveal it's not exactly what one expects of the leader of a democratic society.

Despite the backlash against the run, which gave Americans a history of the unwinnable war in Vietnam. The study revealed that they had been deceived by the president after president. The publication helped hasten the end of U.S. involvement.

What he did not harm national security is, as the Nixon administration had claimed when he went to court to stop publication by the New York Times.

Assange do not think is a real journalist, either, and there is much about the way it works I find deplorable. But history gives us many reasons to doubt the official proclamations that has damaged national security.

You should also warn us against government overreaction. If the Obama criticizes Assange on charges, journalists from around the world could be more difficult to discover what is really happening and risk prosecution if they do.

Plosser and Fisher may dissent from Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s plan to purchase $600 billion in Treasuries



Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Charles Plosser, president and chairman of the Dallas Fed Richard Fisher, the dissent can plan s Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, for purchase of $ 600 billion in Treasury bills, former Fed governor Lyle Gramley said.

"I think Philadelphia's Charles Plosser and Richard Fisher of Dallas are likely to dissent from time to time," Gramley said today in an interview, "Fast Forward" with Peter Cook. "You probably will not affect the outcome of monetary policy decisions. Ben Bernanke, is still in control of the commission."

Plosser said in an interview last week was a "close call" on whether to have dissented from the Fed's December 14, reaffirming plans to buy $ 600 billion in Treasuries in June, expanding to record stimulus try to reduce the 9.8 percent unemployment and keep inflation from falling. Fisher said in November that the measure may be "the wrong medicine" for the U.S. economy.

As part of an annual rotation in the vote on the policy of the Fed, Plosser Fisher, and the bankers of Chicago and Minneapolis Fed votes cast in 2011. The leader of the New York Fed has a permanent voting.

"This is a year that the Fed probably will not have to do anything, just sit still, let the economy take care of itself," said Gramley, senior adviser Potomac Research Group in Washington. "We're looking at an economy that is improving, so the Fed is not going to have to add more stimulation."

This month, the president of the Kansas City Fed, Thomas Hoenig, the senior political leaders, voted against the policy of the Fed for the eighth straight time and reiterated its view that "continued high level of monetary accommodation "may" destabilize the economy. " Record tied former Governor Henry Wallich in 1980 for most in a year dissents.