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Sunday, December 5, 2010

In San Diego "radical idea" could help cities Slash $ 382 billion pension gap

The cities of New York to San Jose, California, compared to nearly $ 400 billion in unfunded pension liabilities will be looking at what San Diego Mayor Jerry Sanders called his "radical idea" to reduce costs.

After voters in the eighth largest city in U.S. rejected an increase in the sales tax half a cent to balance the budget on November 2, Sanders is pushing to eliminate pension plans for new city employees, offering 401 (k) savings accounts, as in place.

Sanders' plan would replace a return of a pension benefit based on the market, is an example of struggle in the cities to escape from the clutches of the fall in tax revenues and increased retirement costs consume to a fifth of their budgets. The longest recession since the Great Depression in 2010 cut revenues over 25 years, the National League of Cities, said last month.

"We're all going to have to be realistic," said Sanders, a 60-year-old Republican, in a telephone interview. "The private sector went through this. Government will have to relook at how to do things well."

stock losses in the market left 50 of the largest municipal pension plans with an unfunded deficit of 382 billion U.S. dollars in June 2009, according to Joshua Rauh, a professor at Northwestern University Kellogg School of Management in Evanston, Illinois. That's the equivalent of $ 14,000 per household in cities, or more than three years of income.

"It's a double whammy," Rauh said in a telephone interview. "Just at the time that tax revenues have declined, as their pension portfolios."

Numbers Opaque

There is no standardized reporting rules for analyzing municipal pension costs, said Gary Pollack, who helps oversee 12 billion U.S. dollars as head of fixed-income operations in the unit of Deutsche Bank AG in New York Wealth Management .

"I would like to see some consistency, so that comparisons can be made without a magnifying glass," Pollack said in a telephone interview. "It's a long-term problem that needs to be treated."

The truth is that the percentage of general fund spending in retirement benefits have in the past decade, more than double in some of the largest U.S. cities, resulting in cuts in services and employment.

The mirrors problem in the states, where only half could pay 80 percent of promised benefits in its 2009 fiscal years.
Not by police

About 15 states allow employees to join the so-called defined contribution plans similar to 401 (k), according to the Baton Rouge, Louisiana-based National Association of State Retirement Administrators. Nationally, only 17 percent of public sector workers are in such plans, compared with 41 percent in the private sector, according to the Employee Benefits Research Institute in Washington.

Sanders' plan is defined contribution apply to civilian employees of the city of 1.3 million euros. Police and firefighters are not entitled, because children could hurt recruiting benefits, he said.

His idea, he will ask voters to approve, "probably will be explored by other cities," said Christopher Hoene, director of research at the Washington-based National League of Cities, in an e-mail.

Chuck Reed, mayor of San Jose, 460 miles (740 kilometers) north of San Diego, Sanders said inspired him to address his city pension.

"San Diego is the leader, the spearhead," he said. "They've been ahead of the rest of us on this."

San Jose, which is the 10 most populous U.S. city and has 1 million inhabitants, increasing payments to the police and fire three times in the past 15 years, raising the maximum benefit for 90 percent of its salary. In 1995, was 75 percent, according to a September filing by the mayor.

Boom times

The changes came when the population of the municipality of Silicon Valley rose by 20 percent and doubled the price of housing, according to City-Data.com. Benefits enacted when times were good, very expensive cost, Reed, 62-year-old Democrat, said in a telephone interview.

"The health care costs continue to rise, but the retirement was self-inflicted," said Reed. "We thought we were rich when they last forever."

Instead, the bills came due.

San Jose voters approved two measures related to pensions 2 November. One reduces the power of arbitrators to determine the municipal employee contracts. Another allows the city to create a second level of benefits for new workers, said Reed.

Potholes and sidewalks

In Los Angeles, pensions and health care will cost more than $ 800 million or 18 percent of revenue this year, according to City Administrative Officer Miguel Santana. Ten years ago, which cost 164 million U.S. dollars or 5.1 percent.

second largest municipality in the nation, with nearly 4 million people, has eliminated 3,500 jobs and libraries closed two days a week, said Santana. This is done only temporary asphalt repairs to the sidewalks and fill potholes least one-third said Lisa Hansen, a spokesman for the city.

New York cut 10,000 jobs over the next 18 months. That will help pay for a 18.5 percent increase in pension costs to 8.3 billion, or 20 percent of projected revenues in 2012, according to Marc LaVorgna, spokesman for the mayor. A decade ago, the costs of pensions in New York were up 4.8 percent of revenues.

Big Drag

"A reduction of 10,000 jobs represents a significant burden on the economy," said James Parrot, chief economist at the nonpartisan Fiscal Policy Institute in New York. "That's almost half the job growth projected for next year."

Yesterday, the chief actuary of New York, Robert North, and Mayor Michael and Comptroller John Liu in predicting the most populous city in the nation will lower the cost assumed in the $ 106,200,000,000 the pension investments current 8 percent rate.


Pittsburgh City Council in October rejected a proposal by Mayor Luke Ravenstahl to lease parking spaces to raise $ 452 million pension, leaving the city of 311,000 to deal with a state takeover of the plan the following year, Joan Doven , a mayoral spokesman, said in a telephone interview.

City costs of pensions will rise to $ 127 million from $ 45 million by 2017, according to a statement from the mayor. The plan is funded 34 percent, according to an actuarial report.

Ravenstahl is not willing to issue "new irresponsible debt" to pay an ongoing expense, said: "It's just kicking the can down the road."

The courts have ruled that the pensions of current employees can not be removed, San Diego, City Attorney Jan Goldsmith, said in a telephone interview.

Pulling the rug

"We can not promise something to someone for 30 years and pull the rug out from under them when they retire," said Michael Zucchet, general manager of San Diego Municipal Employees Association, in a telephone interview.

Put forward contracts in defined contribution plans will not reduce current deficit, Steven Kreisberg, director of collective bargaining and health policy at headquarters in Washington, the American Federation of State, County and Municipal, the largest country public employees' union, said in a telephone interview.

Costs will increase because cities remain traditional plans that work with fewer members, he said.

"The only way to cope with shortage of funding is to fund," he said.

Sanders said San Diego's plan will cost less "simply because you pay as you go, do not accumulate the huge deficit." An actuary will create an estimate of the savings before a ballot measure, not yet scheduled, he said.

"Enron by the Sea '

San Diego earned the sobriquet "Enron by the Sea" by a pension fund scandal that led to the resignation of a former mayor and half a dozen city officials. The city settled the claims by the Securities and Exchange Commission in 2006 have committed fraud by failing to make adequate disclosures to investors about a pension fund deficit.

Sanders, a former police chief elected in 2005, has supported the changes in benefit plans. The city eliminated retiree health coverage for employees hired after 2005. Last year, San Diego reduced their maximum pension payments and reduce by half to 8.75 percent of the city's contribution for new employees.

The defined contribution plan is not necessary because the city has already reduced benefits for future hires, said Zucchet, the union boss.

"We've been cutting for five years," he said. "We're five years before the game."

Municipal-Bond Bank Ex-UBS is arrested in New York, the wire fraud charge

A former co-head of the municipal derivatives at UBS AG faces one count of fraud involving a kickback of $ 100,000 for the investment management agreement with a U.S. state to another bank.

Peter Ghavami, a Belgian national living in Moscow, was arrested on December 1 after arriving at John F. Kennedy International Airport, U.S. Department of Justice said yesterday. Ghavami, with UBS from 1999 to 2007, is the second employee former chairman of Zurich-based bank to be caught in the federal investigation of pricing investment contracts governments buy with money raised from the bond market $ 2800000000000 city.

"Pernicious fraud schemes such as that alleged in this complaint undermine public confidence and trust in municipal bonds and derivatives markets," said Christine Varney, head of the division of competition, yesterday a statement on its website.

Eight former bankers and financial advisers, including former employees of UBS, JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp., have pleaded guilty to fraud against the taxpayers for conspiring with the brokers to pay state and local governments under market rates on the investments purchased with bond proceeds.

Kelly Smith, a spokeswoman for UBS in New York, declined comment.

Ghavami's arrest is the second action this week to leave the four-year investigation. On 30 November, the former JP Morgan banker James L. Hertz admitted to participating in bid-rigging conspiracy and fraud that delivers benefits to Wall Street at taxpayer expense.

CDR Financial case

In the case against a company, CDR Financial Products Inc. of Los Angeles, prosecutors say included more than 200 offers of participation of about 160 state agencies, local governments and nonprofit organizations from California to Texas.

CDR Three former employees pleaded guilty to charges this year and agreed to cooperate with investigators. Three others are fighting the charges. CDR faces a September trial on charges of conspiracy related, according to the Department of Justice.

CDR faces a fine of up to $ 100 million, if convicted, the government has said. In a statement posted on its website in October 2009, the company said the allegations are "unfounded and, in fact, a fiction based on the total lack of understanding of municipal reinvestment market."

The criminal investigation centers on investment agreements that municipalities come from the money raised by selling bonds. The surety of investment called a yield them until the money is needed for schools, roads or other public works. Treasury Department USA encourages competitive bidding to ensure that localities do market rates.

Inside Information

Prosecutors have said that bankers are favored insiders who commissioned brokers bidding for contracts to share the market. In some cases, bankers admitted paying bribes to officials.

The case against Ghavami, also known as Peter Ghavamilahidji according to the Justice Department's complaint, was enhanced by the testimony of a former colleague and co-operating witnesses CDR and Charlotte, financial North Carolina-based company. The complaint did not identify the company.

Bank of America, based in Charlotte, has been helping the Justice Department investigation since 2007 in exchange for leniency. In September, Douglas Lee Campbell, a former executive of municipal derivatives with the bank, pleaded guilty and agreed to cooperate. In May, Mark Zaino, who worked for UBS's municipal bond and derivatives trading desk from 2001 to 2006, pleaded guilty to participating in a conspiracy to rig bids for contracts.

Fixed Agreement

Ghavami worked as an agent in 2001 to an unidentified been seeking an investment contract bond proceeds, the Justice Department said in a previously sealed complaint, dated 16 September. While the agreement should be awarded to the lowest cost bidder, Ghavami arrangements for the deal to go to the unidentified Charlotte, Bank of North Carolina in exchange for a bribe to pay his employer in 2002, according to the complaint.

Ghavami had a license, falsely claiming that the investment contract price is determined through an arm's-length transaction, delivered to the issuer of the State in November 2001, the complaint said. He said the certificate also stated that the employer did not expect Ghavami to pay the broker or agent of an offer to contract-related fee.

Seeking $ 100,000

After the bank won the deal, Ghavami asked employees CDR unidentified banker to call and remind her to pay the kickback. In February 2002, the employer Ghavami received the $ 100,000, which was "disguised as a fee" back cover ", the government said. earlier writings show that bankers hid false bribes as fees related derivative transactions.

In his appearance yesterday, Ghavami not introduced an exception and argues that, according to Alisa Finelli, a spokeswoman for the Department of Justice. He said that we must return to court Jan. 3.

James A. Mitchell, an attorney with Stillman, Friedman & Shechtman and representing Ghavami, did not immediately return a call to his office after regular business hours seeking comment.

To date, 15 former bankers and directors have been charged in the investigation. Court records obtained by us also identify co-conspirators in the banks as Citigroup Inc., Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Wachovia Corp., which have not been charged.

SEC Notice

UBS received a notice from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on February 4, 2008, the agency was considering suing the bank in connection with the offering of financial instruments associated with municipal bonds. UBS is cooperating with the Department of Justice and the SEC, according to the latest quarterly report of the bank.

After leaving UBS in 2007, Ghavami worked for Lehman in London as head of Russia's capital markets. In September 2009, he became head of global markets for Troika Dialog, a private investment bank based in Moscow.

In a statement, Troika Dialog, said he was aware the Justice Department charges against Ghavami.

"These allegations relate to the time period of several years before Peter joined Troika Dialog", the bank said in an emailed statement.

Ghavami faces up to 20 years imprisonment and a fine of $ 250,000, if convicted, according to the Department of Justice.

"Superficial" leads billionaire Uniqlo Fashion Astray From Roots Drucker

Tadashi Yanai, the richest man in Japan, the board of management guru Peter Drucker used to build his empire of Uniqlo clothing. To leave a depression that hammered profits and stocks, the millionaire is reviewing the lessons.

Yanai, 61, founder and president of Fast Retailing Co., built his estimated fortune of $ 9,200,000,000 over 26 years, becoming his father's tailoring in the Uniqlo chain of low-priced, casual clothes to become the largest retailer Clothing of Asia. Yanai said that his success was inspired by Drucker management strategies and the idea of "creating customers" with a product that creates demand.

This year, something went wrong with the strategy of Yanai. Fast Retailing stocks plunged 26 percent to 12.990 yen this year. Sales at stores open more than a year fell 25 percent in September to continue to slide until November, and the company forecast its first profit decline in four years for the fiscal year that ends next August.

"Fast Retailing lost focus of its core products," said Mikihiko Yamato, KK Japaninvest analyst in Tokyo. "The company bent on fashion items that did not sell well."

Uniqlo sales second half of August fell 6.4 percent in Japan, where Yamaguchi-based Fast retailing gets more than 80 percent of revenues.

Meanwhile, competitors such as Zara brand of Inditex SA of Spain and Sweden Hennes & Mauritz AB added stores. Zara had 54 points in Japan in July, after the opening of its first time in the country in 1998. H & M entered the Japanese market in 2008 and had 10 outlets in November.

Basic designs

Trying to match with Zara and H & M, may have been what led to Uniqlo off track, analysts and investors said.

"The company continued to fashion leaders such as Zara," said Yamato Japaninvest. "Uniqlo needs some fashion items, but the strength of the company is to buy fabrics to mass large numbers of functional clothing," said Yamato, who recommends buying shares of Fast Retailing.

"The company should continue its basic design to differentiate itself from Zara and H & M," said Koichi Ogawa, chief portfolio manager at Daiwa SB Investments Ltd. in Tokyo. He refused to comment on their properties.

Yanai received the message. Fast Retailing will focus on functional designs after "surface fashion" items decreased sales, said in a press conference in Tokyo on October 8.

NHK this year published a book entitled "My Way of Management in the style of Peter," based on interviews with Yanai on the influence of management consultant.

Like a compass

"Drucker is not only my professor of management, but it's like a compass to provide a way forward," he said in the book.

Former General Electric CEO Jack Welch Co., s Intel Corp. co-founder Andrew Grove and Shoichiro Toyoda of Toyota Motor Corp. consulted with Drucker was born in Vienna, who died in 2005.

Drucker: "The Practice of Management" Yanai influence "to think first about what customers want and provide more value, instead of what a company wants to sell," said the billionaire. He refused to be interviewed for this article.

Masafumi Shoda, research director of retail industry of Nomura Securities Co., said Yanai has been down and recovered before.

Losing Vegetables

His book "to get rid of their success in a Day", 2009 edition, citing his transfer to the vegetable store in Japan in 2002 and losing money until they pulled the plug two years later. Uniqlo made in the UK in 2001 with the goal of 50 stores in three years. He got to 21 points before closing 16 in 2003 to stem losses and restructuring.

"He makes quick decisions to withdraw from a business not to prevent further losses," said Masamitsu Ohki, a fund manager at Tokyo-based Statistics Investment Management Co., which owns shares of Fast Retailing.

Yanai also worked a sales area, sales of cookware and men's clothing in a Jusco supermarket in 1971, according to his book. Jusco left in 1972 to join tailoring business from his father, Ogori Shoji. He became president in 1984, when he opened the first store Uniqlo, known at the time as the only clothing Gallery.

To his admirers, Yanai show lack of cunning, as in 2007, when he walked away from a bidding war with Dubai investment firm Istithmar PJSC for Jones Apparel Group Inc. 's Barneys New York unit.

"We were lucky not to buy Barneys, after all, as the demand for luxury financial crisis cut, Yanai said in an interview in March.

Now, the World

Although growth has failed this year, has doubled Yanai of Fast Retailing sales in the last five years and the objectives of revenue growth for six to 5 trillion yen (60 billion) in 2020 to overcome H & M and Inditex.

Yanai said he wants 4,000 stores worldwide by 2020, expansion in China, Southeast Asia and other overseas markets. Uniqlo has outlets in the U.S., Russia and France.

"Yanai should keep pursuing overseas expansion, as Japan is shrinking, and offers little growth," said Ogawa of Daiwa SB Investments.

Fast Retailing's Uniqlo will add 44 stores abroad and 36 in Japan in the 12 months to August, bringing the total to 1,024, the company said Oct. 8. That's the pace of openings as the fiscal year.

A 1200 plan includes hiring overseas candidates store manager-in the year from September 2012 to about 300 this fiscal year.

"The opening of new stores outside of Japan is important, but the training of our employees is even more important," Yanai told investors and analysts in October.

Fleece Factor

In addition to Drucker, Yanai Fast Retailing has collaboration with Toray Industries Inc., Japan's largest maker of synthetic fiber, to the shore.

The two work as a "virtual company", said President Sadayuki Sakakibara Toray. "We share information, including costs and technology."

Toray provides the web for Uniqlo fleece jackets, his first success of the product. It retails for 1,900 yen each in 1998, while similar products from manufacturers such as Patagonia Inc. were priced at $ 100, or about four times more.

Uniqlo sales of woolen goods exceeded 26 million units in 2000 and remain at the same level, the company said. The company aims to increase sales of its best-selling light clothing developed with Toray HEATTECH by 40 percent to 70 million units this fiscal year.

Toyota Teaching

Yanai attracted the attention of Toyota, as it struggled to restore customer confidence after recalling more than 8 million vehicles. the world's largest automaker invites you to discuss your manufacturing and pricing strategy at its headquarters in May.

"He knows his customers well and there are things to learn from him," said Toyota vice president Katsuaki Watanabe.

Uniqlo While customers may not be aware of the influence of Drucker visiting stores throughout Japan that are, as Yanai, read about their ideas.

A book about a high school girl who is inspired by the teachings of Drucker to help a baseball team will become the biggest seller in Japan this year.

"What if the Assistant Men of great baseball team Lee Drucker School" Management ", written by Natsumi Iwasaki, sold 1.21 million copies in the year ended November 21, ahead of" 1Q84 "Haruki Murakami and diet guide. Yanai knows the concepts and, according to Shuhei Abe, CEO of Sparx Group Co., where Yanai served as a director out of two years.

"It's one of the few executives who understand Drucker's thinking and philosophy," said Abe, whose Tokyo-based hedge fund also owns shares of Fast Retailing. "The fact implement them."

Australia Central Bank set to keep interest rates at 4.75% in economy slows



The Reserve Bank of Australia, it is likely that tomorrow will keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged as previous increases slow the economy and reduce the risk of accelerating inflation.

Governor Glenn Stevens and his board will leave the cash target interbank rate at 4.75 percent in morning Sydney, according to 25 economists surveyed by us. Stevens told lawmakers in the 10 days of testimony that "it is unlikely that any of us coming" in borrowing costs.

Australia's economy probably will not reach the central bank predicts growth of 3.5 percent in 2010 after it expanded last quarter at the slowest pace in almost two years, according to Citigroup Inc. in order to contain prices Stevens was favored by some of the largest banks raise mortgage rates by nearly double the increase of a quarter percentage point of the RBA on 2 November.

"With rates in November, inflation under control and boost the economy losing in the fourth quarter, clearly not the time to raise rates further," said Craig James, chief economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.

Traders bet there's a 90 percent chance Stevens left unchanged borrowing costs during the first quarter of next इयर.
The currency fell 2.9 percent against the U.S. dollar last month as reports indicate a slowdown in the economy.

Household expenditure

Retail sales fell in October by the most since July 2009, according to data released last week, and a private report showed consumer confidence fell in November to a minimum of five months. Household sector spending almost half of gross domestic product of the nation.

Business profits also fell in the three months through September, the first quarterly drop in more than a year. Loans to businesses fell 0.8 percent in October from September, according to central bank.

The economy grew 0.2 percent in the third quarter of the previous period, the worst performance since a contraction in late 2008, a government report released on 1 December.

Stevens, in testimony before the House of Representatives Economics Committee on 26 November, said that while the decision last month to raise rates was finely balanced, it is usually better to go earlier rather than later.

"We have to balance that risk, obviously, against the risk of getting behind the game and history, for many central banks including us, which has tended to be the mistake we made," the governor told lawmakers.

Dollar parity

Australia's currency reached parity with the U.S. dollar in October as traders bet the central bank will increase borrowing costs and the Federal Reserve prepared to pump an additional incentive in the world's largest economy. The RBA is trying to contain the expected acceleration in inflation as Australia experienced a boom in investment of resources that is driving companies to increase hiring to meet demand from China.

Australia's employers probably added 20,000 workers in November, the ninth straight month of gains, according to a separate survey before a report of 09 December. Employers have added 301,600 jobs from January to October and the average monthly gain this year is the largest in at least three decades.

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd., the third largest producer of iron ore Australia, last month approved an expansion of $ 8.4 billion in the Pilbara region of Western Australia out of almost triple the earnings claim steel manufacturers.

China Mills

He joins Rio Tinto, Vale and BHP Billiton SA Ltd., to announce the expansion as prices rise. The producers are trying to meet the demand from steel mills in China, where consumption is forecast alloy Rio Tinto to double by 2020 from 2008 levels.

"In all the available evidence, we are witnessing an event that occurs maybe once or twice in a century," Stevens said in an address to a Committee for Economic Development Australia event in Melbourne last week. "Obviously we have to be careful of overheating."

increased by a quarter point The RBA last month was followed by large increases in the level of variable rate home loan from Westpac Banking Corp., National Australia Bank Ltd., Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. and Bank of the Commonwealth.

That sparked a political backlash and the government moves to increase competition in the banking sector. Local politicians are sensitive to increases in borrowing costs in more than 90 percent of borrowers in Australia have variable rate loans to home.

The RBA is unlikely to raise rates again before the second quarter of 2011 when the economy is "yet to see the effect of the recent tightening of rates and mortgage rose 40 basis points," said Paul Bloxham economist Head of Australia and New Zealand in HSBC Holdings Plc in Sydney and a former RBA official, who had predicted an improvement in the first quarter.

"The decision this month is almost a fait accompli," he said. The next RBA monetary policy meeting on 1 February.

Planes worth 311 million tons of iron ore output in 2011 to meet demand in Asia

Vale SA, the world's largest exporter of iron ore, plans to produce 311 million tons next year to meet expected demand in Asia for raw materials used to make steel.

Roberto Castello Branco, Vale's director of investor relations, made the forecast today in a press conference in Hong Kong, where the Brazilian company will list depositary receipts on 8 December to demonstrate its commitment to Asia.

Global demand for iron ore will be greater than the supply in the coming years due to growth in Asia, CFO Guilherme Cavalcanti said at the conference. It may also seek to list in Shanghai where possible, he said, without giving any timetable.

"The main part of our increased production goes to Asia," said Cavalcanti,

Vale list, with the participation certificates of deposit 259 million to 393 million common and Class A preferred depositary receipts will be the first of these by a foreign company in Hong Kong.

JPMorgan Chase & Co., sole sponsor of the list, is responsible for a series of Vale shares to be transferred to Hong Kong. Common depositary receipts trading with the ticker 6210 Hong Kong, while certificates of deposit, preferred to go by the Hong Kong ticker 6230.

"Focus on Asia

The main reasons for their inclusion in Hong Kong include the need to raise the profile of Vale in Asia and demonstrate its "commitment, and focus on, Asia", according to a document with the list handed out today. The possibility of benefiting from high liquidity levels in Hong Kong is another reason for their inclusion in china town, the document shows.

Hong Kong presented certificates of deposit in 2008 to include foreign companies are prohibited from registering shares overseas. Russia joins Vale United Co. Rusal and headquartered in Luxembourg International SA L'Occitane in seeking access to Chinese investors.

Companies raised a record 45.4 billion U.S. dollars through IPOs in Hong Kong this year. Vale is seeking closer access to China, the largest consumer of iron ore, after its third-quarter profit more than tripled from a year earlier on increased prices and demand from Asia.

Price to Earnings

Shares of Brazilian companies trading on 10.60 times estimated earnings. The shares trade on the Brazilian Bovespa stock at an average of 13.31 times earnings estimates, while stocks in the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong in question, have an average price earnings ratio of 14 68.

A list of success could pave the way for other Brazilian companies to trade in Hong Kong. Petroleo Brasileiro SA, the state oil company, is considering selling CDs in Hong Kong, the newspaper Ming Pao reported on 16 November.

It plans to almost double the investment to $ 24 million next year as it expands production of iron ore and boost nickel, copper and fertilizer companies, said Oct. 28. The company aims to boost production of minerals and metals by 16 percent annually between 2011 and 2015, compared with a rate of 9.8 percent from 2003 to 2008.

growth in demand for iron ore may return later this year after China faces overcapacity in the steel industry, Chief Executive Jose Carlos Martins, said in September.

Mbeki in Ivory Coast to mediate Gbagbo, Ouattara Each Claim Presidency

Former South African President Thabo Mbeki, arrived today in Ivory Coast to mediate a growing political crisis sparked by a violent disputed election that has seen two rival leaders laying claim to the presidency.

Laurent Gbagbo, 65, owner, was sworn in as president in a ceremony at the presidential palace hours after the Constitutional Council declared the winner of the November 28 elections. Hours later, Alassane Ouattara said he had taken the oath of office, after a Dec. 2 announcement by the Electoral Commission, who won 54.1 percent of the vote.

"We are in Ivory Coast," said Mukoni Ratshitanga, a spokesman for Mbeki, in a text message today. "We have met with UN special representative and the president and meet with the opposition before."

The election was intended to unite the world's cocoa grower top, which has been divided into a rebel north and government controlled south since the uprising of 2002. The dispute over the results is the escalation of violence that left several people killed during the campaign, Ouattara supporters to the streets in protest.

The UN, U.S. and the European Union have sided Ouattara, while leaders of the armed forces in the former French colony have backed the incumbent Gbagbo.

Emergency Mission

The African Union appointed Mbeki to lead an emergency mission to Ivory Coast "to facilitate the rapid and peaceful electoral process and efforts to find a solution to the crisis." Mbeki, who was sacked as South African president in 2008, led the previous mediation efforts during the uprising and spearheads efforts to end the conflict in Sudan.

"We are confident that the African Union and the international community," said Anne Ouloto spokesman Ouattara, in a telephone interview. "They can not recognize the new president Alassane Ouattara in Ivory Coast and negotiate with Laurent Gbagbo. We hope they are here to do because Laurent Gbagbo."

Since yesterday, Ouattara's supporters have used tables, stones and pieces of wood to barricade streets and set car tires on fire in Abidjan and Yamoussoukro, political capital, and police used tear gas to disperse them.

Clashes between the rival factions have killed 18 people in Abidjan only in the last two days, Amadou Coulibaly, a party spokesman Ouattara, said yesterday afternoon. Sporadic gunshots were heard in the city today.

Six people were killed and four seriously injured in the central city of cocoa production Issia December 3, after the pro-Gbagbo youths attacked shops owned by supporters of Ouattara and looted a warehouse of a cocoa pod according to an official of the opposition did not want to be identified for fear of reprisals.

Bouaké protests

In the central city of Bouaké, Ouattara's supporters held peaceful protests for a third day today.

"People are increasingly concerned about the situation," said Philippe Kande, a resident of the city, in a telephone interview. "Gbagbo is very unpredictable. Gbagbo to respect the will of the people. He is always talking about democracy, but he has shown that democracy does not care at all."

Local officials of the Red Cross declined to comment on the reports of violence. Nouk Ange gendarmerie spokesman did not return calls to his mobile phone seeking comment.

Border sealed

The army has closed all borders of the country until further notice, the military said in a statement read on state television. TV and radio signals of Foreign Affairs have stalled indefinitely, the National Broadcasting Council, said in a separate statement.

"It will be a rough ride in the Ivory Coast," said Kissy Agyeman-Togobo Advisory Songhai LLP partner who provides services to clients interested in Africa, by telephone from London yesterday afternoon. "It's not a threat very, very real conflict. I think it will be difficult for Gbagbo to stand."

growth of the Ivory Coast has an average of 1.1 percent in the eight years since the conflict began in the country remained dependent on cocoa out of the wave of foreign investment in African nations such as China. Ouattara Gbagbo supporters maintain, 68, head of the revolt in 2002, a charge he denies.

Cocoa for March delivery rose $ 67, or 2.3 percent, to 2.935 pounds in New York on 03 December after jumping 4 percent the previous day.

Branson said on May Oil reached U.S. $ 200 per barrel cleaning Without new policies Energy

Oil prices could rise to $ 200 a barrel if the world moves more quickly to a clean energy economy, Richard Branson, founder of Virgin Atlantic Airways Ltd., said in an interview.

"It is certainly conceivable unless we can start saving energy quickly and get alternative fuels," Branson said yesterday in Cancun, Mexico, where countries come together to negotiate a new agreement to combat climate change.

Branson predicts "incredibly painful" recession unless governments do more to promote renewable energy as an alternative to fossil fuels like oil. In the U.S., where efforts to limit emissions of carbon dioxide failed in the Senate earlier this year, unemployment could reach record levels, the British billionaire said.

"We will have the mother of all recessions, if not quickly solve our energy policy," Branson said last night in the World Climate Summit in Cancun. "We think what we mean today. In five years the period of unemployment can go to 15 percent without any difficulty at all in America."

Branson, 60, spoke with U.S. billionaire Ted Turner, founder of Cable News Network. Branson and Turner, 72, will also speak tomorrow at the two-day conference focused on how businesses can help combat climate change.

* Make Kyoto

Meanwhile, negotiators from nearly 190 countries are faced with how to proceed in the negotiations of United Nations treaty aimed at reducing emissions of greenhouse gases. Industrialized and developing nations are divided over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol.

Japan, Russia and Canada have refused to sign up for a second round of emissions reductions once the current written in Kyoto expires in 2012.

Emerging economies such as China, India and Brazil are "absolutely unanimous" in its position that developed countries should agree on a new period of engagement, UN climate chief Christiana Figueres, said yesterday. Kyoto discord threatens to divert attention from talks on a new global climate agreement that includes the U.S., he said. U.S. is not the only developed country of Kyoto.

Turner urged countries to reach an agreement.

"Let's do it," he said. "Let's do it now before it's too late."

UK may introduce new tax on Bank bonds before 2011

The UK government may introduce additional taxes on bank bonds and disclosure rules ahead of payments in the New Year, the Sunday Times, citing unidentified government officials.

The government wants to tackle culture of extra financial institutions, including the addition of a new tax similar to the one-time tax of 50 percent set by the former Chancellor of the Treasury, Alistair Darling, the newspaper said.

Qatar Shares Surge to the bid two years World Cup winner

Qatar shares climbed to the highest in two years after the country won the rights to host the football World Cup 2022, becoming the first Arab country to the world's most-watched sporting events.

Qatar National Bank, the emirate's largest lender by assets, climbed to its highest in more than five years. Barwa Real Estate Co., Qatar's largest developer, publicly traded property assets, gained 6.2 percent. QE Index advanced 3.6 percent to close at 8477.32 at 24:30 in Doha, the highest since October 2008.
"The mood is understandable that high-flying," said Akber Khan, director of Al Rayan Investment in Doha. "There will be a major impact on some companies as the government fast-track billions of dollars in spending. Banks, real estate and construction-related names will be among the main beneficiaries."

Qatar, designed by the International Monetary Fund that the fastest growing economy in the world this year, plans to more than double the number of hotel rooms, build new stadiums and refurbish three others and build a metro rail network for tournament. U.S. estimated that the tournament is worth $ 5 billion for the hosts.

Shares valued at about 1.2 billion riyals ($ 330 million) traded in Qatar today, the highest since June 2008. Qatar National Bank rose 4.5 percent to 183.6 riyals, the highest since September 2005. Barwa Real Estate Co. rose to 36 rials, the highest since October 2009.

Air conditioning Stadium

The country plans to spend $ 4 billion in stadium construction and renovation. With summer temperatures nearly 50 degrees Celsius (122 Fahrenheit), each facility will be designed with an air conditioning system with solar energy. A new city of 200,000 people called Lusail, north of the capital, is scheduled to be built in the next decade and the stadium will host the World Cup final.

Qatar hopes to build a metro rail network, which costs more than $ 25 billion in Doha and extends to cities outside the capital. It is also planning the world's longest bridge to connect to the nearby island kingdom of Bahrain, and aims to open a new airport next year.

Orascom Construction Industries rose 3.2 percent, the highest since May, on speculation the company based in Cairo can get World Cup contracts. "It is ready for more profits tomorrow as investors expect the company to be awarded more contracts in Qatar," said Ashraf Akhnoukh, senior equity trader for sale in Cairo-based International Trade Co. Bag

Australia

soccer's governing body, the International Federation of Association Football, or FIFA, announced that Qatar won the bid for the World Cup in Zurich on December 2 after competing with the U.S., Australia, Japan and South Korea . Russia was chosen to host the 2018 tournament.

Industries Qatar, the manufacturer of petrochemicals second largest in the Middle East, rose 4.3 percent to 135 riyals.

Crude oil rose to its highest level in 25 months, with oil for January delivery stood at $ 89.19 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on 3 December. Futures rose 6.5 percent last week and 12 percent this year. The six Gulf nations like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, supplying a fifth of the world's oil.

Regional movements

Bahrain Share Index gained 0.3 percent, Kuwait indicator rose 0.7 percent and Oman MSM30 Index advanced 0.5 percent. Saudi Arabia's Tadawul All Share Index retreated 0.3 percent after gaining 1.2 percent yesterday. UAE markets are closed today for an Islamic holiday.

The TA-25 rose 1.2 percent at 3:09 pm in Tel Aviv as Perrigo Inc. rose 4.3 percent to 233.2 shekels after the manufacturer of OTC pharmaceutical products, was described as "buy" in new coverage at UBS AG.

Israel bonds fell, with the yield of 5 percent bonds due in January 2020 Shiklit Mimshal increased 1 basis point to 4.65 percent, the highest since July 15.

BoE Bond Plan will increase by mid next year



The Bank of England will have to increase its asset purchase plan in mid-2011 due to the risks of a "setback" for economic growth, the British Chambers of Commerce said.

The Monetary Policy Committee will increase its bond program for 50 million pounds ($ 78,500,000,000) to 250 million pounds, the CBC said in a report released today by e-mail in London. The economy will grow 1.8 percent this year, 1.9 percent in 2011 and 2.1 percent in 2012, predicted by the lobby group.

"The MPC may be reluctant to increase due to quantitative easing concerns about inflation," said the BCC's chief economist David Kern in a statement. "But there is a strong case for easing monetary policy further at a time when fiscal policy is being tightened."

Bank of England policymakers were split three ways if to fight inflation by increasing interest rates or add stimulus to promote economic expansion. fiscal control agency of the government last week cut its growth forecast for next year as the government prepares to implement deeper cuts in spending since World War II.